Midterms still look good for GOP

 Washington Examiner:

These 30 House races will decide if Democrats or Republicans win the majority

...

 The once-in-a-decade redistricting process will likely help House Republicans net a couple of seats in the 435-member chamber since state GOP lawmakers controlled the bulk of the map redrawing processes. That by itself will help the GOP effort to overturn the slim House majority Democrats have held in the 117th Congress.

...

Moreover, recent wave election years when the House changed party control — Republicans in 1994 and 2010 and Democrats in 2006 and 2018 — show that many of the top races don't appear competitive until a few weeks before Election Day. Surprises can and will happen. And conversely, races that seem tight at this stage of the campaign can end up being blowouts one way or another.

But a bit over four months from Election Day 2022, it’s clear Republicans have the momentum to claim the majority and make current Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) the next House speaker. Here are 30 House races most likely to decide which party holds the speaker’s gavel in January 2023.

...

The story provides lengthy descriptions of the 30 races they selected.  Whether this remains a wave election after the Roe v. Wade decision seems to be up in the air, but before the decision, some projections saw as many as 70 seats flipping to Republicans.

As for the abortion issue, there have been polls of different responses to it with one poll showing only 5% of voters care about it.  What we have learned since the decision is that those who do care about, care a lot.

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