Are the polls counting all the new voters coming to Trump rallies including Democrats?

 Andrea Widburg provides Ronna MacDaniels context to the Trump rallies.

...

 The interesting question, and the one the mainstream media would prefer you don't ask, is who are the people attending Biden's rallies?  As was the case in 2016, the Trump campaign and the GOP are paying close attention to the people showing up.  Here are data that McDaniel published from the last several Trump rallies.  In tweet after tweet, pay attention to the number of non-Republicans at the rallies and the number of people who did not support Trump in 2016.  The Midwestern numbers are extraordinary.

Just as we had the famous Reagan Democrats, it looks as if this election is going to see a huge number of Trump Democrats.  Those voters aren't necessarily going to appear in traditional polling.  Likewise, to the extent that almost all polling outfits, in the days before the election, focus on people who have a track record of voting, these enthusiastic newbies also aren't getting counted.

... 

Biden can't draw a crowd even with a rock star like Bon Jovi. It is clear that Trump is creating excitement for his candidacy that Biden is not.  There is also the fact that support for Trump by blacks and by Hispanics is up significantly from 2016.  The pollsters appear to be hanging their predictions of a Biden landslide on suburban women.  I question whether there are enough of them to overcome the support for Trump.  In my unscientific estimate by looking at social media, there are about as many women Trump supporters as men.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Should Republicans go ahead and add Supreme Court Justices to head off Democrats

29 % of companies say they are unlikely to keep insurance after Obamacare