The Mass. special election Senate race

Rasmussen Reports:

State Attorney General Martha Coakley holds a nine-point lead over her Republican rival, state Senator Scott Brown, in Massachusetts’ special U.S. Senate election to fill the seat of the late Edward M. Kennedy.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Coakley ahead of Brown 50% to 41%. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

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Special elections are typically decided by who shows up to vote and it is clear from the data that Brown’s supporters are more enthusiastic. In fact, among those who are absolutely certain they will vote, Brown pulls to within two points of Coakley. That suggests a very low turnout will help the Republican and a higher turnout is better for the Democrat.

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I still see Brown as a long shot. If he got all the undecided he would still be behind. Even with the enthusiasm factor he comes up short. While I would like to think that Massachusetts voters would come to their senses about the evils of liberalism that apparently has not happened yet.

The race does seem to indicate how dispirited Democrats are after a year of Obama, Reid and Pelosi making a mess in Washington.

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