GOP the generic leader now

Michael Barone:

The Real Clear Politics average on the generic ballot now shows Republicans ahead 46%-42%. This is historically unprecedented.

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The current results are as favorable for Republicans or more so than the CNN/Gallup polls taken at this point in the 1994, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002 and 2004, cycles in which Republican House candidates received more votes than Democratic candidates . All of which leads me to second Charlie Cook’s suggestion that if the election were held today, Republicans would gain more than the 40 seats they need to get a majority in the House. I would go further and say that if the election were held today Republicans would do better than in 1994 or 2002, their best years since the “had enough?” Republican landslide of 1946.

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The Republicans have the edge in intensity which is a reflection of the anger directed toward Democrats attempts to change their health care. Obama and Pelosi continue to stoke that anger with their continue push for some form of their hated health care bills. There is also the issue of spending and the deficit that Obama is trying to address in a very non serious way. At this point the Demcorats do not seem to have an answer for the anger they have created.