The Chicom Taiwan dilemma

 Ward Clark:

If China Invades Taiwan, Could They Even Take It, Much Less Hold it?

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There's another way to read that: "If China can't take Taiwan in 90 days, they're in trouble." But can China cross that strait with enough troops to take Taiwan in the first place? And more to the point, can they keep those troops supplied with beans, bullets, and fuel? In military matters, amateurs study tactics, while professionals study logistics; wars are always won or lost because of logistics.

And China might not be able to pull that off.
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The Americans were successful in amphibious operations in World War II and in Korea.  China does not have any history of pulling that off although it could probably produce the landing craft over time.  

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