Overturning Roe unlikely to change trajectory of 2022 election

 Red States:

Last week’s Supreme Court oral arguments sparked a glimmer of hope on left, with the hope being to use a possible overturning of Roe v. Wade as a wedge issue in 2022 to drive turnout. But while signs are certainly pointing toward the “right” to abortion being gutted, would such an event really represent a reset for the coming election?

Color me extremely skeptical that the electorate is that malleable at this point, and I’m apparently not the only one throwing cold water on the idea. Politico spoke to several Democrat strategists who not only think the abortion issue isn’t a winner for them, but that they should actually avoid it altogether. Of course, that realization isn’t a happy one for them.

Shorter Politico: Democrats realize they’ve got no out for 2022.

...

The fact is that the vast majority of Americans support greater restrictions on abortion. That doesn’t make them all pro-life, but it does mean that the Democrat position of completely unfettered abortion is extreme and unpalatable for most. It’s certainly not one that’s going to mobilize an army of new voters to somehow hold off the probable coming red wave in 2022.

...

Since the 2020 election the Democrats have done so much to alienate voters that it should take more than motivating single issue voters to turn things around for them. 

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