Independents big swing toward GOP

 Stephen Green:

Democrat support from independent voters has fallen near the crucial 40% line, while almost half of all independent voters tell Gallup that they’re leaning Republican.

“If you’re a Democrat and you’re not terrified,” says The Dispatch’s Avi Woolf, “you should be.”

Well, I’m neither a Democrat nor terrified, but I am conservative and — at least for now — quite giddy.

Gallup recently updated its long-term party affiliation poll, which asks American voters one or two simple questions:

  • In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?
  • (If they ID as independents) As of today, do you lean more to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?

Currently, 31% say they’re Republicans, up slightly from the usual mid-20s to 30%. 41% told Gallup that they’re independent voters, in line with the average swing. Only 27% self-ID as Democrats, which is down from the more typical 29-32%.

As recently as May, Democrats were at 32% and the GOP at a dismal 25%.

But that’s before Presidentish Joe Biden had had a chance to do much other than send out FREE! MONEY! (handouts that helped cause our present inflation) and smile for the glowing press coverage. Since then, important parts of his agenda have taken hold and the malign incompetence of his cabinet has been fully revealed.

Apparently, Americans don’t think much of either.

But it’s the second question that should have Washington Democrats changing their shorts.

Indies, asked whether they lean towards the Democrats or the GOP, broke for the GOP 47% to 41%.

At this time in Barack Obama’s first term, the breakdown was a much more Dem-friendly 25R/41I/32D. And the Indy swing was exactly reversed, 41R/47D.

Yet the Democrats still lost a whopping 63 seats in the House and seven more in the Senate in the following midterm election.

...

This is one reason why Biden and the Dems are falling further behind in the mid-term polling and is why Democrats a panicking for the most part, except for Biden who is whistling as he walks through the graveyard. 

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