Virus death toll now seen as much lower than projected

Epoch Times:

The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said the CCP virus death toll across the United States will be much lower than projected.

Dr. Robert Redfield, the head of the CDC, predicted on Monday that it will be “much, much, much lower” than what some models have shown—coming after tens of millions of Americans followed social distancing guidelines and numerous businesses were closed.

“First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus,” Redfield remarked to KVOI in Arizona.

Some models assumed only that about 50 percent of Americans would follow social distancing guidelines, he noted. Some models predicted anywhere from 100,000 deaths to more than 2 million deaths in the United States, depending on the mitigation efforts enacted by federal, state, and local officials.

“In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models,” Redfield said.
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One of the other assumptions that have not played out was the prediction of a higher mortality rate among those who came down with the virus.  The deaths have mainly been attributable to underlying conditions which made the victims more vulnerable.