Like much of the polling conventional wisdom has been wrong this election so far

Erick Erickson:
The Conventional Wisdom Has Been So Wrong, Let’s Keep Using It
The list is long of failed predictions by those pontificating about the "conventional wisdom."  But the polls have also understated Ted Cruz support in every race he has won.  None was as spectacularly wrong as the polling in Kansas which projected a six-point win by Trump.  Cruz won Kansas by 25 points over Trump.  The poll was off by 31 points.

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