Obama's problem

Jonah Goldberg:

THE Democrats are having their flop-sweat moment.

Barack Obama should be way out in front. The Republicans are in terrible shape. They've nominated an old white-haired dude who'll be the kind of president who'll yell from the Oval Office window, "You kids get off my lawn!" The economy is like wounded roadkill, flopping around, unable to get going but unwilling to lay down and die. Yet John McCain is pulling ahead of Obama.

The latest Reuters poll has Grandpa Munster up five percentage points over our secular messiah. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has the two in a virtual tie. If the race were held today and McCain took the toss-up states where he's now ahead, he'd be the next president.

Yes, it's early. McCain has had a good couple weeks. But these were his first good couple weeks since he secured the nomination. Meanwhile, with the exception of the Jeremiah Wright unpleasantness, Obama has had a good couple years.

The winds at the Democrats' backs are hurricane-force, and yet Obama's holding steady.

Ask the typical Obama supporter why this should be so and you'll get a range of answers. Some mutter about Fox News conspiracies and how Karl Rove-like aliens are doing terrible things with probes of proctological exactitude. Others shake their heads at the racism of anyone who could have a problem with a left-wing pol with almost no experience, who often sounds like his campaign slogan is: "People of Earth! Stop Your Bickering. I Am From Harvard, And I'm Here To Help."

Perhaps therein lies the answer: Obama's problems are the ones Democrats always have at the presidential level: He's an elitist.

...

Liberalism is often a problem at the presidential level. Cultural liberalism is a burden. Haughty cultural liberalism is a disaster in the making.

...

He goes on to explain the difference between the cultural elites in the Democrat party and the "Jacksonians" who are mostly working class whites. Obama appears to still not be making a connection with these voters. Liberals will claim it is because they are racist, but they are the same voters who rejected all the other liberals who have run in the last 30 years.

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