Obama slipping in tracking poll

Rasmussen Reports:

The race for the White House is getting a bit closer. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama’s lead over John McCain down to a statistically insignificant single percentage point, 43% to 42%. Prior to today, Obama had enjoyed at least a four-point advantage every day since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the race over a month ago. This is the first time his support has fallen below the 45% level since May 31.

When "leaners" are included, Obama leads 47% to 45%. The presumptive Democratic nominee has been ahead with leaners every day since clinching the nomination on June 3 and his support has not been below 48% since June 5. While Obama’s numbers have slipped a bit in today’s report, McCain is at the high end of the range he has occupied for the past six weeks. However, it is worth noting that he not moved out of that narrow range (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day (see recent demographic highlights).

...

I think the leaner number may be misleading. In almost every primary the late deciders move against Obama.

I think voters have still not gotten passed the "change" message to see just how bad Obama's policy positions are on things like energy, taxes and the war in Iraq. Only about a third of the voters support his actual positions. How much longer the additional 10 percent of voters continues to support him in the face of that will determine the outcome of this election.

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