McCain leads Dems in Michigan, tied in Pennsylvania

Rasmussen:

In Michigan, John McCain has a very modest advantage over both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton during the early stages of Election 2008. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found McCain leading Clinton 46% to 43% and Obama 44% to 41%.

McCain leads both Democrats by double digits among men and trails by single digits among women. Nationally, McCain and both Democrats are locked in a close race as measured by the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

...

McCain is also essentially even with the two leading Democrats in Pennsylvania, another state that typically winds up in the Democratic column (see summary of recent state general election polling).

A month ago, Obama held an eight-point lead over McCain while the Republican hopeful was tied with Clinton. Since that earlier poll, McCain has clinched the GOP nomination and been endorsed by his former challengers. The Democratic race has become more divisive. McCain wins 83% or 84% of the GOP vote against the Democrats. Obama wins just 67% of the Democratic vote, Clinton 71%. McCain and Obama are essentially even among unaffiliated voters while the Republican has an advantage over Clinton among the unaffiliated.

...

This sounds like good news for McCain. If he picks Romney, he could probably lock up Michigan. He needs to find a way to appeal to security moms to bring up his vote among women. These women went decisively for Bush in 2004. Democrats appear to have a real problem with white male voters.

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