Flawed climate models flunk predictions of the past
James Lewis:
Prediction is hard, especially about the future, said Yogi Berra. So why not try to predict the past? A study in the Royal Metereological Society journal did just that, focusing on the best available evidence of the past 25 years. Measuring instruments have improved immensely in accuracy and coverage in recent decades, using satellites, weather balloons and surface sensors.Read the "failed" link. What the study demonstrated is that the models consistently said the temperature would rise higher than it actually did. This should be a fatal flaw if this were really science and not religion. It is interesting that a British official worries about exaggerating the al Qaeda threat, because global warming is a "more important threat"? I think he has his priorities exactly reversed.
Alas, all 22 math models use by the United Nations failed to predict the last twenty-five years.
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