Dems worry about Hillary's negative coat tails

AP/Houston Chronicle:

Looking past the presidential nomination fight, Democratic leaders quietly fret that Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton at the top of their 2008 ticket could hurt candidates at the bottom.

They say the former first lady may be too polarizing for much of the country. She could jeopardize the party's standing with independent voters and give Republicans who otherwise might stay home on Election Day a reason to vote, they worry.

In more than 40 interviews, Democratic candidates, consultants and party chairs from every region pointed to internal polls that give Clinton strikingly high unfavorable ratings in places with key congressional and state races.

"I'm not sure it would be fatal in Indiana, but she would be a drag" on many candidates, said Democratic state Rep. Dave Crooks of Washington, Ind.

Unlike Crooks, most Democratic leaders agreed to talk frankly about Clinton's political coattails only if they remained anonymous, fearing reprisals from the New York senator's campaign. They all expressed admiration for Clinton, and some said they would publicly support her fierce fight for the nomination — despite privately held fears.

The chairman of a Midwest state party called Clinton a nightmare for congressional and state legislative candidates.

A Democratic congressman from the West, locked in a close re-election fight, said Clinton is the Democratic candidate most likely to cost him his seat.

A strategist with close ties to leaders in Congress said Democratic Senate candidates in competitive races would be strongly urged to distance themselves from Clinton.

"The argument with Hillary right now in some of these red states is she's so damn unpopular," said Andy Arnold, chairman of the Greenville, S.C., Democratic Party. "I think Hillary is someone who could drive folks on the other side out to vote who otherwise wouldn't."

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When Democrats talk about voter suppression, they don't view it as a bad thing if it is Republicans not coming out. Hillary's ability to get out the GOP vote is seen as a real negative. But, if she is a negative for the down ticket candidates, what does that say about her appeal at the top of the ticket. She has the highest negatives of any candidate in the race. In some poles her negatives are at 53 percent. That is somewhat deceptive since some Democrats who view her negatively will hold their nose and vote for her anyway.

I think the Democrats are really fooling themselves about the 2006 election which was much closer than they would like to acknowledge and the negatives of their leadership will have a real negative effect in 2008 on the bottom of their ticket anyway. When they lose it want be all Hillary's fault.