Taiwan could hold off Chicoms for two weeks
Washington Times:
Taiwan could fend off a concerted attack by China for at least two weeks before it would need help from the United States, according to the results of an unprecedented high-level exercise.It does not sound like much time to me when you consider typical deployment times. With Guam becoming the primary base in that part of the Pacific the US would still need ships and troops from the mainland for an effective defense, although B-2 bombers could be brought to the battle space within 24 hours.
For the first time, the Ministry of National Defense ran the weeklong war game for President Chen Shui-bian of the Republic of China and other political leaders in April to test their ability to respond to a military assault from the mainland.
Mr. Chen, Prime Minister Su Tseng-chang, Defense Minister Lee Jye and other Cabinet ministers participated in the exercise, wrestling with a simulated missile attack that severely damaged the island's financial communications.
They sought continuity in government when several leaders were killed or wounded. They mobilized the armed forces to repel an amphibious invasion from the mainland.
"We could defend our country by ourselves for at least two weeks if we were attacked by the [People's Republic of China]," said Abe C. Lin, the ministry's director of strategic planning, referring to the outcome of the exercise and intelligence assessments.
The findings are important to the United States: Under the Taiwan Relations Act, often cited by the Bush administration as the basis for the U.S. posture on Taiwan, the United States would be obliged in most circumstances to come to the island's aid.
Two weeks would give the U.S. ample time to get forces to the Taiwan Strait, especially after plans for a military buildup on Guam have been completed. Three submarines, which would be vital to disrupting an amphibious assault, are there, and more are coming.
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